New IBond Rates after November 2007 Reset

All data is in to estimate the new variable reset beginning in November for existing I-Bonds.

Posted on our Facebook Forum by Runner Twentysix October 17, 2007.

The CPI-U history for the six month reset period (Mar. 2007-Sep. 2007) is as follows:

Mar. CPI-U 205.352
Apr. CPI-U 206.686
May. CPI-U 207.949
Jun. CPI-U 208.352
Jul. CPI-U 208.299
Aug. CPI-U 207.917
Sep. CPI-U 208.49

The Sep. jump in CPI was large. This brings the new rates up from the trend we were seeing of a dismal reset.

My estimate for the new rates for existing bonds will be the following when their 6-month reset period arrives.

Base----Rate
1.0%----4.07%
1.1%----4.17%
1.2%----4.27%
1.3%----4.38%
1.4%----4.48%
1.6%----4.68%
2.0%----5.09%
3.0%----6.10%
3.3%----6.41%
3.4%----6.51%
3.6%----6.71%

Current I-Bonds are at a 1.3% base rate, which means if you buy them before the end of this month, you will get 3.74% followed by 4.38% at their next reset in 6 months.

If they leave the base rate at 1.3%, new Nov issue bonds would carry a 4.38% rate.

Check the Treasury Direct website http://www.treasurydirect.gov/ on October 1, 2007 for the actual new base rate.